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Outside In
David Dodwell

The Iran war is brewing a food crisis we must avert

The world’s focus has been on energy shortages but famine and widening food insecurity are faces of the same coin

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A Thai farmer fills an oil drum with diesel to harvest rice, at a petrol station in Ayutthaya on April 1. Thai farmers are struggling with shortages of diesel, fertiliser and insecticides, alongside rising production costs which threaten their crops. Photo: EPA
David Dodwell is a journalist focused on Hong Kong and China since the 1970s.

As my wife and I quaffed our way through a sumptuous five-course South African wine tasting dinner at the Hong Kong Foreign Correspondents’ Club (FCC) early this week, the world food crisis and global food insecurity seemed a very long way away.

Yet as the US war on Iran approached its third month, with the Strait of Hormuz still blocked and a host of critical commodities hostage to the conflict, our FCC wine dinners must surely be in jeopardy. More seriously, millions worldwide may face much graver food hardships.

At the World Bank/International Monetary Fund annual meetings, global financial leaders put a brave face on economic prospects but also warned that risks dominated. A joint statement said the Gulf conflict risked “upending lives and livelihoods in the region and beyond”.

The World Food Programme, suffering from severe funding shortfalls largely because of cuts in US humanitarian aid, warned last month that 45 million more people could tip into acute hunger if the Gulf conflict does not end by June. This would lift to 363 million the number of people worldwide threatened by acute hunger – the most severe hunger crisis on record.
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