China-Egypt joint drills a show of Beijing’s military reach

China is beginning to match its economic presence abroad with the military reach required to operate across it. The clearest evidence came from Egypt. Chinese J-16 fighters flew there recently, supported by YU-20 tankers that refuelled them in the air. The Chinese jets are taking part in Egypt’s “Eagles of Civilisation” alongside Egyptian Rafales and MiG-29s. This is the first time China has sent the jets to Africa, providing experience in moving a combat force across continents and operating with a major Arab military. Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to Egypt commemorates 70 years of diplomatic relations. Over those decades, ties have evolved from diplomacy and trade into infrastructure, technology and now military cooperation. Chinese economic interests are deeply embedded around the Suez Canal. Chinese companies have established manufacturing and logistics operations, using Egypt as a production and distribution base linking their supply chains to European, African and Middle Eastern markets. That footprint is still growing. Egyptian firms signed 17 export contracts worth US$168 million with Chinese buyers last month. Beijing’s investment in Egypt in the first half of 2026 is estimated at up to US$2 billion, with much of the funds going into the expansion of existing projects. Beijing has also extended zero-tariff treatment to Egyptian goods, removing duties that had reached 30 per cent. Yet the commercial relationship remains asymmetric: Egypt’s trade deficit with China exceeded US$18 billion last year. The stakes rise when China’s economic footprint needs to be secured. Ports, factories, logistics networks and supply chains are exposed when instability disrupts access to them. The further Chinese interests extend, the more useful a military presence capable of reaching those regions becomes. The drill provided a glimpse of that capability. For years, China’s expanding global presence had been primarily commercial. Then, the Belt and Road Initiative built infrastructure, opened markets and established Chinese companies in strategic locations. The next stage is military reach to protect that economic presence, and Egypt shows what that transition can look like. A similar pattern is emerging in technology. Huawei Technologies has bid to build artificial intelligence (AI) data centres for the Egyptian government using Ascend chips, while Washington is trying to pull together a competing proposal involving Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices and Microsoft. Egypt’s AI strategy aims to raise the gross domestic product contribution of its information and communications technology sector to 7.7 per cent by 2030, making access to American and Chinese technology suppliers part of a wider effort to build a domestic technology industry. This also gives Cairo bargaining power over which companies gain a position in this strategic sector. The Chinese presence is therefore extending across the sectors that matter to Beijing’s long-term position in Egypt: manufacturing, logistics, technology and defence. Cairo, however, is not building its relationship with China at the expense of other partnerships. Egypt remains a major recipient of US military assistance and operates a mixed fleet of American, French and Russian aircraft. It has expanded relations with China, maintained ties with Russia, cultivated European and Gulf partners, and joined the Brics grouping. Defence procurement reflects the same approach. Egypt has reportedly shown interest in China’s J-10C as it diversifies its fighter fleet. The exercises give Egyptian forces exposure to Chinese systems while Cairo continues to operate Western aircraft and maintain its defence relationships. That gives both sides something they want. China gains access and operational experience in the Middle East and Africa. Egypt gains another military supplier and major power with an interest in maintaining close ties. The same calculation extends into security policy. President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi declined to attend White House talks in February last year after US President Donald Trump pressed his proposal to relocate Palestinians from Gaza. Egypt has also kept a distance from US military operations against the Houthis, despite the economic damage to the Suez Canal. The canal’s revenues fell by 61 per cent in 2024 as attacks on Red Sea shipping diverted vessels away. Cairo had a direct interest in restoring navigation and protecting the canal, yet its response was shaped by its assessment of what those interests required. This is where China’s growing presence becomes useful to Egypt. Chinese foreign direct investment can sit alongside American defence assistance. Chinese technology can compete with American tech. Chinese aircraft can train with Egyptian aircraft while Cairo keeps using Western systems. For Washington, the calculation is more uncomfortable. Cairo only needs credible alternatives to make American boldness more costly, and each additional supplier, investor or military partner gives Egypt more room to resist pressure from any one of them. The implications extend globally. Washington and Beijing frame their rivalry around competing strategic camps. Cairo shows middle powers can keep both sides invested without giving either one exclusive influence, using the resulting competition to extract investment, technology, military capabilities and diplomatic leverage. For China, the larger significance is the narrowing distance between its economic presence and its ability to project military power. Beijing, after decades of building economic interests abroad, is now developing the logistics, access and operational experience required to put military power behind those interests. Egypt is where that transition is becoming visible as China’s economic interests and military capabilities are beginning to connect. Cairo has an incentive to allow this because a more capable China gives Egypt another powerful relationship. The next geopolitical challenge will be how far China can extend this model, and how much military reach its global economic footprint can support and its rivals stand.

China-Egypt joint drills a show of Beijing’s military reach

.css-1c6uqr6{color:inherit;font-weight:inherit;font-size:inherit;font-family:inherit;line-height:inherit;overflow-wrap:break-word;}As recent air drills in Egypt indicate, after decades of building economic interests abroad, China is developing the ability to put military power behind them

As recent air drills in Egypt indicate, after decades of building economic interests abroad, China is developing the ability to put military power behind them