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US-China relations
OpinionChina Opinion
Opinion
Robin Hu

How China is turning risks of Trump 2.0 into world of opportunities

Reducing dependence on the West is just a start. Beijing is building a system of influence anchored by partnerships and backed by industrial and tech prowess

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Illustration: Stephen Case
Robin Hu is Asia chair emeritus at the Milken Institute.

Six months into Donald Trump’s second term as president of the United States, the global order has entered a period of renewed volatility. This is not a return to the past, but the acceleration of a multipolar world marked by recalibrated alliances, fractured supply chains and shifting development models.

For China, the question is not simply how it will respond to a more transactional, less predictable US, but also how it will recalibrate its external partnerships, internal growth model and strategic positioning in a world where power is increasingly diffused and contested.

Trump’s foreign policy, both in his first term and again now, is rooted in a familiar pattern of “fight and talk, talk and fight”. It is a mode of diplomacy defined not by long-term strategic coherence, but by episodic negotiation driven by leverage and short-term gain. In this framework, agreements are provisional. Commitments are subject to renegotiation. US-China relations under Trump 2.0 are thus likely to remain turbulent, characterised by pressure, friction and tactical pauses rather than resolution.

But such volatility is not just a risk. For China, it is also an opportunity to further diversify partnerships, reduce strategic dependence on Western markets and technologies, and deepen its outreach to a broader coalition of emerging economies.
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